Surviving at the Bottom of the Riverbed
Quarterly Economic Report
January 06, 2010 Joe Morgan

Many market commentators are referring to today’s economic malaise in the form of letters. Are we in a “U-shaped” recession or will it be a “W?” Perhaps the worst of both worlds: the dreaded “L.” The obvious extended nature of our current downturn will be much longer than that implied by these simplistic descriptors. Instead, I prefer the analogy of crossing a riverbed. Today, we stand in the flat portion at the bottom of the riverbed, having sped down towards the bottom rather violently. 

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